Back to UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Sijara Eubanks vs Roxanne Modafferi

UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis ·Madison Square Garden
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Sijara Eubanks
Roxanne Modafferi
52% 48%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
34
Age
Δ 3y
36
9-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
26-21
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Eubanks: 57 sig / 3 TD · Modafferi: 28 sig / 1 TD
Sijara Eubanks
Roxanne Modafferi
88
Sig strikes landed
65
207
Sig strikes attempted
164
93
Total strikes landed
99
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.2
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
147s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Sijara Eubanks

"SarJ"
9-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
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Blue corner
W1

Roxanne Modafferi

"The Happy Warrior"
26-21
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
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