Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Sarah Moras vs Talita Bernardo
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
·Avenir Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Sarah Moras
Talita Bernardo
43%
57%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
30
Age
Δ 1y
32
6-9
Career record
Δ 15 pp
6-5
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Moras: 37 sig / 1 TD ·
Bernardo: 60 sig / 2 TD
Sarah Moras
Talita Bernardo
32
Sig strikes landed
32
69
Sig strikes attempted
71
73
Total strikes landed
74
1.1
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.9
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
175s
Control time
250s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sarah Moras
"Cheesecake"
6-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
Blue corner
L2
Talita Bernardo
6-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—