Back to UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Prelims1 Welterweight

Nordine Taleb vs Sean Strickland

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith ·Avenir Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Nordine Taleb
Sean Strickland
13% 87%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
37
Age
Δ 10y
28
15-8
Career record
Δ 14 pp
31-8
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Taleb: 48 sig / 0 TD · Strickland: 65 sig / 0 TD
Nordine Taleb
Sean Strickland
37
Sig strikes landed
50
87
Sig strikes attempted
120
50
Total strikes landed
74
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
125s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Nordine Taleb

15-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
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W UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
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W UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
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Blue corner
L1

Sean Strickland

31-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
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L UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
W UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—