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Main Featherweight

Michael Johnson vs Artem Lobov

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith ·Avenir Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Michael Johnson
Artem Lobov
81% 19%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 8"
65"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
26-20
Career record
Δ 13 pp
13-16-1
W1
Current streak
L2
19
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johnson: 99 sig / 1 TD · Lobov: 67 sig / 0 TD
Michael Johnson
Artem Lobov
80
Sig strikes landed
58
175
Sig strikes attempted
129
90
Total strikes landed
63
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.70
Knockdowns
0.20
108s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Michael Johnson

"The Menace"
26-20
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 19 fights · 10-9
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
Blue corner
L2

Artem Lobov

"The Russian Hammer"
13-16-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
W UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—