Main
Light Heavyweight
Volkan Oezdemir vs Anthony Smith
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
·Avenir Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Anthony Smith
52%
48%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
21-9
Career record
Δ 6 pp
39-22
L1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Oezdemir: 77 sig / 1 TD ·
Smith: 63 sig / 1 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Anthony Smith
38
Sig strikes landed
35
73
Sig strikes attempted
84
49
Total strikes landed
42
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
82s
Control time
46s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
Blue corner
W2
Anthony Smith
"Lionheart"
39-22
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—