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Prelims2 Heavyweight

Arjan Bhullar vs Marcelo Golm

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith ·Avenir Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Arjan Bhullar
Marcelo Golm
55% 45%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
9-2
Career record
Δ 22 pp
6-4
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bhullar: 47 sig / 1 TD · Golm: 43 sig / 0 TD
Arjan Bhullar
Marcelo Golm
27
Sig strikes landed
27
40
Sig strikes attempted
48
57
Total strikes landed
46
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
254s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Arjan Bhullar

9-2
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
W UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
Blue corner
L1

Marcelo Golm

6-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—