Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Don'Tale Mayes
Mitchell Sipe
48%
52%
Why
26
Age
Δ 4y
22
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Mayes: 98 sig / 0 TD ·
Sipe: 54 sig / 1 TD
Don'Tale Mayes
Mitchell Sipe
26
Sig strikes landed
33
55
Sig strikes attempted
56
34
Total strikes landed
43
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.60
70s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Don'Tale Mayes
"Lord Kong"
11-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 1.8
—
Blue corner
Mitchell Sipe
"No Dice"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22