Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Vicente Luque
Jalin Turner
65%
35%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
77"
27
Age
Δ 4y
23
W2
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Luque: 41 sig / 0 TD ·
Turner: 31 sig / 0 TD
Vicente Luque
Jalin Turner
31
Sig strikes landed
26
60
Sig strikes attempted
55
45
Total strikes landed
40
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
145s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Vicente Luque
"The Silent Assassin"
25-12-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
Blue corner
Jalin Turner
"The Tarantula"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23