Back to UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Prelims2 Women's Bantamweight

Lina Lansberg vs Yana Santos

UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Lina Lansberg
Yana Santos
31% 69%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
37
Age
Δ 8y
29
11-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-9
W1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lansberg: 43 sig / 0 TD · Santos: 72 sig / 5 TD
Lina Lansberg
Yana Santos
34
Sig strikes landed
28
60
Sig strikes attempted
55
65
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
178s
Control time
243s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Lina Lansberg

"Elbow Queen"
11-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
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W UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
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L UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
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Blue corner
L1

Yana Santos

17-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
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