Prelims2
Women's Bantamweight
Irene Aldana vs Lucie Pudilova
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Irene Aldana
Lucie Pudilova
47%
53%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
30
Age
Δ 6y
24
16-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-10
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Aldana: 119 sig / 0 TD ·
Pudilova: 105 sig / 0 TD
Irene Aldana
Lucie Pudilova
74
Sig strikes landed
74
172
Sig strikes attempted
183
80
Total strikes landed
96
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.0
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
58s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Irene Aldana
16-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
Blue corner
W2
Lucie Pudilova
15-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
—