Prelims2
Flyweight
Robert Sanchez vs Jarred Brooks
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Robert Sanchez
Jarred Brooks
33%
67%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
62"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
9-2
Career record
Δ 1 pp
13-3
W1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Sanchez: 16 sig / 1 TD ·
Brooks: 24 sig / 2 TD
Robert Sanchez
Jarred Brooks
24
Sig strikes landed
28
49
Sig strikes attempted
47
59
Total strikes landed
57
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.7
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
183s
Control time
286s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Robert Sanchez
"Littlefury"
9-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
Blue corner
L2
Jarred Brooks
"The Monkey God"
13-3
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—