Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Alex White
77%
23%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
35
Age
Δ 5y
30
39-20
Career record
Δ 1 pp
13-7
L4
Current streak
L1
24
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Miller: 15 sig / 1 TD ·
White: 5 sig / 0 TD
Jim Miller
Alex White
33
Sig strikes landed
44
75
Sig strikes attempted
98
44
Total strikes landed
51
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.7
Takedowns attempted
0.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
80s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L4
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
24 fights · 13-10
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
Blue corner
L1
Alex White
"The Spartan"
13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—