Prelims2
Welterweight
Diego Sanchez vs Craig White
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Diego Sanchez
Craig White
74%
26%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
37
Age
Δ 9y
28
31-14
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-10
L2
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sanchez: 46 sig / 3 TD ·
White: 18 sig / 0 TD
Diego Sanchez
Craig White
33
Sig strikes landed
30
64
Sig strikes attempted
74
53
Total strikes landed
51
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
234s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
31-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
14 fights · 6-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
L1
Craig White
"The Thundercat"
14-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
—