Back to UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Prelims1 Middleweight

Charles Byrd vs Darren Stewart

UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till ·American Airlines Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Charles Byrd
Darren Stewart
46% 54%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
11-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
13-8
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Byrd: 38 sig / 0 TD · Stewart: 24 sig / 0 TD
Charles Byrd
Darren Stewart
22
Sig strikes landed
16
39
Sig strikes attempted
30
42
Total strikes landed
28
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.8
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
280s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
35%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Charles Byrd

"Kid Dynamite"
11-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
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Blue corner
W1

Darren Stewart

"The Dentist"
13-8 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 5 fights · 1-3
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
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L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
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L UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. And…
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