Prelims1
Bantamweight
Aljamain Sterling vs Cody Stamann
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Aljamain Sterling
Cody Stamann
76%
24%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 6"
64"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
27-5
Career record
Δ 13 pp
22-8-1
W1
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Sterling: 33 sig / 2 TD ·
Stamann: 12 sig / 3 TD
Aljamain Sterling
Cody Stamann
60
Sig strikes landed
40
134
Sig strikes attempted
100
89
Total strikes landed
70
2.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
9.1
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
212s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
27-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
W3
Cody Stamann
"The Spartan"
22-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
W
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—