Main
Featherweight
Zabit Magomedsharipov vs Brandon Davis
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zabit Magomedsharipov
Brandon Davis
89%
11%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
28
Age
Δ 1y
28
19-1
Career record
Δ 39 pp
14-11
W3
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Magomedsharipov: 38 sig / 6 TD ·
Davis: 27 sig / 0 TD
Zabit Magomedsharipov
Brandon Davis
73
Sig strikes landed
42
147
Sig strikes attempted
118
97
Total strikes landed
52
3.4
Takedowns landed
0.2
6.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
299s
Control time
22s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Zabit Magomedsharipov
19-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
Blue corner
L1
Brandon Davis
"Killer B"
14-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—