Back to UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Prelims2 Women's Flyweight

Joanne Wood vs Kalindra Faria

UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick ·Pinnacle Bank Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Joanne Wood
Kalindra Faria
58% 42%
Why
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
17-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
18-9-1
L2
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Wood: 5 sig / 0 TD · Faria: 13 sig / 1 TD
Joanne Wood
Kalindra Faria
42
Sig strikes landed
41
76
Sig strikes attempted
90
76
Total strikes landed
59
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
211s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Joanne Wood

"JoJo"
17-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
L UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
Blue corner
L2

Kalindra Faria

18-9-1
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—