Prelims1
Bantamweight
Cory Sandhagen vs Iuri Alcantara
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
·Pinnacle Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cory Sandhagen
Iuri Alcantara
57%
43%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
26
Age
Δ 12y
38
19-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
36-10
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
17
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Sandhagen: 66 sig / 0 TD ·
Alcantara: 9 sig / 1 TD
Cory Sandhagen
Iuri Alcantara
48
Sig strikes landed
43
97
Sig strikes attempted
85
55
Total strikes landed
52
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
93s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cory Sandhagen
19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
Blue corner
W1
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
36-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
17 fights · 10-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
L
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—