Prelims1
Middleweight
Andrew Sanchez vs Markus Perez
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
·Pinnacle Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Andrew Sanchez
Markus Perez
57%
43%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
13-8
Career record
Δ 10 pp
13-5
L2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sanchez: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Perez: 54 sig / 0 TD
Andrew Sanchez
Markus Perez
33
Sig strikes landed
39
63
Sig strikes attempted
79
64
Total strikes landed
55
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.8
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
203s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Andrew Sanchez
"El Dirte"
13-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
Blue corner
W1
Markus Perez
"Maluko"
13-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—