Main
Featherweight
Michael Johnson vs Andre Fili
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
·Pinnacle Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Johnson
Andre Fili
33%
67%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
25-21
Career record
Δ 12 pp
26-13
L3
Current streak
W2
18
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Johnson: 65 sig / 0 TD ·
Fili: 37 sig / 2 TD
Michael Johnson
Andre Fili
50
Sig strikes landed
53
115
Sig strikes attempted
128
56
Total strikes landed
62
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
46s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25-21
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
18 fights · 9-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
Blue corner
W2
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
26-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—