Back to UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Main Women's Strawweight

Cortney Casey vs Angela Hill

UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick ·Pinnacle Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Cortney Casey
Angela Hill
55% 45%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
31
Age
Δ 2y
34
10-11
Career record
Δ 8 pp
20-16
L2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Casey: 111 sig / 1 TD · Hill: 121 sig / 1 TD
Cortney Casey
Angela Hill
80
Sig strikes landed
74
210
Sig strikes attempted
156
87
Total strikes landed
96
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
112s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
80%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Cortney Casey

"Cast Iron"
10-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
L UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
W UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
Blue corner
W1

Angela Hill

"Overkill"
20-16
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—