Main
Middleweight
Eryk Anders vs Tim Williams
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
·Pinnacle Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Eryk Anders
Tim Williams
66%
34%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
18-10
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Anders: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Williams: 43 sig / 2 TD
Eryk Anders
Tim Williams
34
Sig strikes landed
22
68
Sig strikes attempted
51
59
Total strikes landed
29
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
167s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
18-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
L1
Tim Williams
"The South Jersey Strangler"
15-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—