Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Giga Chikadze
Austin Springer
63%
37%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Chikadze: 38 sig / 0 TD ·
Springer: 49 sig / 4 TD
Giga Chikadze
Austin Springer
37
Sig strikes landed
33
80
Sig strikes attempted
69
51
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
136s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Austin Springer
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31