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Main Women's Strawweight

Randa Markos vs Marina Rodriguez

UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Randa Markos
Marina Rodriguez
27% 73%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
L1
Current streak
—
9
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Markos: 48 sig / 2 TD · Rodriguez: 60 sig / 0 TD
Randa Markos
Marina Rodriguez
38
Sig strikes landed
47
96
Sig strikes attempted
102
63
Total strikes landed
79
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
186s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Randa Markos

"Quiet Storm"
11-13-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
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W UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
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L UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
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W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
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L UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
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Blue corner

Marina Rodriguez

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31