Back to UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Main Bantamweight

Renan Barao vs Andre Ewell

UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Renan Barao
Andre Ewell
86% 14%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 5"
75"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
L2
Current streak
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14
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Barao: 44 sig / 3 TD · Ewell: 53 sig / 1 TD
Renan Barao
Andre Ewell
61
Sig strikes landed
46
133
Sig strikes attempted
108
74
Total strikes landed
59
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
147s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Renan Barao

"The Baron"
34-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
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L UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
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L UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
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L UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
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Blue corner

Andre Ewell

"Mr. Highlight"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31