Back to UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Luis Henrique vs Ryan Spann

UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Luis Henrique
Ryan Spann
39% 61%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
79"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
L2
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Henrique: 30 sig / 4 TD · Spann: 46 sig / 0 TD
Luis Henrique
Ryan Spann
24
Sig strikes landed
33
50
Sig strikes attempted
60
44
Total strikes landed
58
2.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
6.6
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
285s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Luis Henrique

"KLB"
10-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
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L UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
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W UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
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Blue corner

Ryan Spann

"Superman"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27