Prelims1
Lightweight
Rustam Khabilov vs Kajan Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
·Olympic Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rustam Khabilov
Kajan Johnson
80%
20%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
25-4
Career record
Δ 26 pp
23-14-1
W5
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Khabilov: 17 sig / 3 TD ·
Johnson: 44 sig / 0 TD
Rustam Khabilov
Kajan Johnson
28
Sig strikes landed
26
71
Sig strikes attempted
73
50
Total strikes landed
37
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
200s
Control time
35s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
25-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
—
Blue corner
L1
Kajan Johnson
"Ragin'"
23-14-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—