Prelims1
Lightweight
Mairbek Taisumov vs Desmond Green
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
·Olympic Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mairbek Taisumov
Desmond Green
73%
27%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
28-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
24-8
W5
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taisumov: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Green: 27 sig / 0 TD
Mairbek Taisumov
Desmond Green
37
Sig strikes landed
34
104
Sig strikes attempted
97
48
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
89s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Mairbek Taisumov
"Beckan"
28-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
Blue corner
W1
Desmond Green
"The Predator"
24-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—