Back to UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
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Andrei Arlovski vs Shamil Abdurakhimov

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik ·Olympic Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Andrei Arlovski
Shamil Abdurakhimov
49% 51%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
40
Age
Δ 3y
37
34-25
Career record
Δ 15 pp
21-8
L1
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Arlovski: 18 sig / 2 TD · Abdurakhimov: 32 sig / 2 TD
Andrei Arlovski
Shamil Abdurakhimov
35
Sig strikes landed
34
76
Sig strikes attempted
68
47
Total strikes landed
51
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
86s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Andrei Arlovski

"The Pitbull"
34-25 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
W UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
W1

Shamil Abdurakhimov

"Abrek"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—