Main
Light Heavyweight
Jan Blachowicz vs Nikita Krylov
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
·Olympic Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jan Blachowicz
Nikita Krylov
39%
61%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
36
Age
Δ 9y
26
30-11-2
Career record
Δ 2 pp
31-12
W3
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Blachowicz: 10 sig / 1 TD ·
Krylov: 4 sig / 1 TD
Jan Blachowicz
Nikita Krylov
32
Sig strikes landed
37
62
Sig strikes attempted
84
50
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
152s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Jan Blachowicz
30-11-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
Blue corner
L1
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—