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Prelims1 Middleweight

Khalid Murtazaliev vs CB Dollaway

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik ·Olympic Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Khalid Murtazaliev
CB Dollaway
79% 21%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
25
Age
Δ 10y
35
—
Current streak
W2
0
UFC fights in our DB
14

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Murtazaliev: 48 sig / 5 TD · Dollaway: 4 sig / 2 TD
Khalid Murtazaliev
CB Dollaway
37
Sig strikes landed
32
74
Sig strikes attempted
61
50
Total strikes landed
44
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Khalid Murtazaliev

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
W2

CB Dollaway

"The Doberman"
18-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
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