Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Montel Jackson
Rico DiSciullo
74%
26%
Why
26
Age
Δ 6y
32
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Jackson: 54 sig / 3 TD ·
DiSciullo: 21 sig / 0 TD
Montel Jackson
Rico DiSciullo
38
Sig strikes landed
33
76
Sig strikes attempted
68
55
Total strikes landed
48
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
158s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
Blue corner
Rico DiSciullo
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32