Prelims2
Lightweight
John Makdessi vs Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
·Scotiabank Saddledome
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Makdessi
Ross Pearson
68%
32%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
19-9
Career record
Δ 11 pp
21-16
W1
Current streak
W1
14
UFC fights in our DB
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Makdessi: 131 sig / 0 TD ·
Pearson: 79 sig / 0 TD
John Makdessi
Ross Pearson
80
Sig strikes landed
62
166
Sig strikes attempted
148
86
Total strikes landed
65
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
35s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
19-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
Blue corner
W1
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
21-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
22 fights · 10-11
Last 5
W
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—