Back to UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Ion Cutelaba

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 ·Scotiabank Saddledome
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Ion Cutelaba
52% 48%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
21-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
21-11-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Antigulov: 12 sig / 3 TD · Cutelaba: 40 sig / 0 TD
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Ion Cutelaba
31
Sig strikes landed
32
79
Sig strikes attempted
81
44
Total strikes landed
46
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.7
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

21-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
Blue corner
W1

Ion Cutelaba

"The Hulk"
21-11-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
L UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
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