Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Alexis Davis vs Katlyn Cerminara
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
·Scotiabank Saddledome
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alexis Davis
Katlyn Cerminara
45%
55%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
22-11
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-6
W2
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Davis: 70 sig / 1 TD ·
Cerminara: 62 sig / 0 TD
Alexis Davis
Katlyn Cerminara
52
Sig strikes landed
57
135
Sig strikes attempted
147
82
Total strikes landed
80
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.1
5.5
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
198s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
84%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alexis Davis
22-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
L
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
Blue corner
W2
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
19-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—