Prelims1
Welterweight
Jordan Mein vs Alex Morono
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
·Scotiabank Saddledome
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jordan Mein
Alex Morono
74%
26%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
32-12
Career record
Δ 7 pp
25-13
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Mein: 14 sig / 3 TD ·
Morono: 20 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Mein
Alex Morono
37
Sig strikes landed
42
99
Sig strikes attempted
102
47
Total strikes landed
63
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
107s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
32-12
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
L
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
L
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
Blue corner
W1
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
25-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—
W
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—