Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Randa Markos vs Nina Nunes
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
·Scotiabank Saddledome
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Randa Markos
Nina Nunes
37%
63%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
12-12-1
Career record
Δ 15 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Markos: 23 sig / 1 TD ·
Nunes: 49 sig / 0 TD
Randa Markos
Nina Nunes
55
Sig strikes landed
57
132
Sig strikes attempted
121
85
Total strikes landed
82
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
222s
Control time
187s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
12-12-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
L
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
—
Blue corner
W2
Nina Nunes
12-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—