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Prelims1 Featherweight

Khalid Taha vs Nad Narimani

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith ·Barclaycard Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Khalid Taha
Nad Narimani
64% 36%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
26
Age
Δ 5y
31

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taha: 32 sig / 0 TD · Narimani: 45 sig / 6 TD
Khalid Taha
Nad Narimani
35
Sig strikes landed
36
71
Sig strikes attempted
76
52
Total strikes landed
51
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
155s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Khalid Taha

"The Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner

Nad Narimani

"Smiler"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31