Back to UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Justin Ledet vs Aleksandar Rakic

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith ·Barclaycard Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Justin Ledet
Aleksandar Rakic
47% 53%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
30
Age
Δ 3y
26
10-4
Career record
Δ 0 pp
15-6
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ledet: 12 sig / 0 TD · Rakic: 104 sig / 3 TD
Justin Ledet
Aleksandar Rakic
47
Sig strikes landed
50
122
Sig strikes attempted
130
49
Total strikes landed
56
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
29s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Justin Ledet

"El Blanco"
10-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1

Aleksandar Rakic

"Rocket"
15-6
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—