Back to UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Davey Grant vs Manny Bermudez

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith ·Barclaycard Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Davey Grant
Manny Bermudez
32% 68%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
33
Age
Δ 9y
24
18-9
Career record
Δ 22 pp
15-2
L1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Grant: 4 sig / 0 TD · Bermudez: 3 sig / 0 TD
Davey Grant
Manny Bermudez
22
Sig strikes landed
31
43
Sig strikes attempted
69
34
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.0
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
128s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
57%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Davey Grant

"Dangerous"
18-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
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W UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bispi…
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L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
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Blue corner
W1

Manny Bermudez

"The Bermudez Triangle"
15-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
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