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Prelims2 Light Heavyweight

Jeremy Kimball vs Darko Stosic

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith ·Barclaycard Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jeremy Kimball
Darko Stosic
44% 56%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
28
Age
Δ 1y
26
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kimball: 4 sig / 0 TD · Stosic: 9 sig / 0 TD
Jeremy Kimball
Darko Stosic
24
Sig strikes landed
32
46
Sig strikes attempted
58
37
Total strikes landed
42
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
92s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jeremy Kimball

15-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
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L UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
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Blue corner

Darko Stosic

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26