Back to UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Main Welterweight

Danny Roberts vs David Zawada

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith ·Barclaycard Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Danny Roberts
David Zawada
53% 47%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
W1
Current streak
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6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Roberts: 45 sig / 0 TD · Zawada: 33 sig / 2 TD
Danny Roberts
David Zawada
38
Sig strikes landed
37
83
Sig strikes attempted
76
48
Total strikes landed
46
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
86s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Danny Roberts

"Hot Chocolate"
19-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
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W UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
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L UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
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W UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
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Blue corner

David Zawada

"Sagat"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28