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Prelims1 Lightweight

Nick Hein vs Damir Hadzovic

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith ·Barclaycard Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Nick Hein
Damir Hadzovic
57% 43%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
14-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-9
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Hein: 43 sig / 0 TD · Hadzovic: 71 sig / 0 TD
Nick Hein
Damir Hadzovic
26
Sig strikes landed
31
56
Sig strikes attempted
74
40
Total strikes landed
44
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Nick Hein

"Sergeant"
14-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
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W UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
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W UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
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W UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
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Blue corner
L1

Damir Hadzovic

"The Bosnian Bomber"
14-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
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