Back to UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Damian Stasiak vs Pingyuan Liu

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith ·Barclaycard Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Damian Stasiak
Pingyuan Liu
45% 55%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
L2
Current streak
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5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stasiak: 24 sig / 3 TD · Liu: 32 sig / 1 TD
Damian Stasiak
Pingyuan Liu
28
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
66
43
Total strikes landed
52
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.1
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
160s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Damian Stasiak

"Webster"
10-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
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L UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
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W UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
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W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
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L UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
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Blue corner

Pingyuan Liu

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25