Back to UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Prelims1 Featherweight

Kurt Holobaugh vs Raoni Barcelos

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov ·CenturyLink Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Kurt Holobaugh
Raoni Barcelos
44% 56%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Holobaugh: 102 sig / 1 TD · Barcelos: 82 sig / 3 TD
Kurt Holobaugh
Raoni Barcelos
38
Sig strikes landed
40
90
Sig strikes attempted
85
62
Total strikes landed
63
1.8
Takedowns landed
2.3
4.4
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
201s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Kurt Holobaugh

"The Hurt"
22-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
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Blue corner

Raoni Barcelos

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31