Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Liz Carmouche vs Jennifer Maia
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
·CenturyLink Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Liz Carmouche
Jennifer Maia
36%
64%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
34
Age
Δ 5y
30
L1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Carmouche: 53 sig / 3 TD ·
Maia: 42 sig / 0 TD
Liz Carmouche
Jennifer Maia
36
Sig strikes landed
36
77
Sig strikes attempted
79
67
Total strikes landed
71
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
210s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
13-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
Blue corner
Jennifer Maia
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30