Main
Featherweight
Myles Jury vs Chad Mendes
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
·CenturyLink Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Myles Jury
Chad Mendes
66%
34%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 7"
66"
30
Age
Δ 4y
33
18-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-6
W2
Current streak
L2
10
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jury: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Mendes: 17 sig / 0 TD
Myles Jury
Chad Mendes
34
Sig strikes landed
26
78
Sig strikes attempted
43
53
Total strikes landed
33
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
167s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Myles Jury
"Fury"
18-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—
L
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
Blue corner
L2
Chad Mendes
"Money"
18-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—
L
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
L
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—