Main
Welterweight
Randy Brown vs Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
·CenturyLink Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Niko Price
75%
25%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
21-8
Career record
Δ 12 pp
17-11
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Brown: 13 sig / 1 TD ·
Price: 12 sig / 1 TD
Randy Brown
Niko Price
30
Sig strikes landed
26
63
Sig strikes attempted
62
46
Total strikes landed
41
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
151s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
21-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
Blue corner
W1
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
17-11
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—