Main
Women's Bantamweight
Cat Zingano vs Marion Reneau
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
·CenturyLink Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cat Zingano
Marion Reneau
77%
23%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
36
Age
Δ 5y
41
10-5
Career record
Δ 14 pp
10-8-1
L3
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zingano: 33 sig / 6 TD ·
Reneau: 14 sig / 0 TD
Cat Zingano
Marion Reneau
37
Sig strikes landed
31
80
Sig strikes attempted
71
69
Total strikes landed
55
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
225s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
43%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Cat Zingano
"Alpha"
10-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
L
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
W2
Marion Reneau
"The Belizean Bruiser"
10-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—