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Prelims1 Featherweight

Tyler Diamond vs Bryce Mitchell

The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Tyler Diamond
Bryce Mitchell
37% 63%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
27
Age
Δ 4y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Diamond: 51 sig / 3 TD · Mitchell: 38 sig / 3 TD
Tyler Diamond
Bryce Mitchell
30
Sig strikes landed
40
64
Sig strikes attempted
80
46
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
134s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Tyler Diamond

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Bryce Mitchell

"Thug Nasty"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24